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Monday, November 10, 2008

A look at the Wake game, relatively speaking

We're going to take another look at the relativity stats this week heading into the Wake game. For more explanation about these stats and what they mean, see last week's entry for the Duke game.

State Offense Versus Wake Defense:

Rushing Offense
105Rushing Defense
Passing Offense
77Pass Defense
Total Offense
105Total Defense
Passing Efficiency
91Pass Efficiency Defense
Scoring Offense
97Scoring Defense

Average Delta in favor of Wake when we have the ball: 61.6. Relative to the rest of all Div. 1A programs, they are 51.8% (61.6/119) better defensively than State offensively.

State Defense Versus Wake Offense:

Rushing Defense81Rushing Offense9817
Pass Defense101Passing Offense80-21
Total Defense99Total Offense1034
Pass Efficiency Defense85Passing Efficiency61-24
Scoring Defense87Scoring Offense958

Average Delta in favor of Wake when they have the ball: 2.7. Relative to the rest of all Div. 1A programs, they are 2.2% (2.7/119) better offensively than State is defensively.


Right away you can see that Wake's strength this season is their defense. Their offense, typically strong under Grobe, has really been lacking in production this year, especially their running game. That's a great sign for State fans, as that plays to the strength of the Pack defense.

Wake's passing game is stronger than their running attack but it's still not a world-beating unit, 80th and 61st in yardage and passing efficiency, respectively. When compared to the Pack's pass defense, though, they still stand apart in the rankings with a better than 20-spot advantage in both categories.

The good news is that as previously injured Pack players continue to work themselves back into playing shape, the effectiveness of the Pack pass defense should improve.

The question will be can State's offense, that looked so good in the first half against Duke, have similar success against a very stout Wake defense. The disparity in the rankings seem to suggest no, but the one chink in the Deacon armor may be their pass defense. And with Russell Wilson continuing to improve each week passing the football, State may have opportunities passing the ball downfield.

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